In the third quarter of this year, the China Economic and Industrial Climate Index and the 11 industry sentiment indices all declined compared with the previous quarter, but the decline narrowed, indicating that China's industrial operations have generally stabilized. This index was jointly compiled and published by the Economic Daily News Center and the National Economic Climate Monitoring Center of the National Bureau of Statistics. The index monitoring showed that the industrial economic prosperity index of the third quarter was 95.4 (the prosperity standard was 100), which was 0.5 points lower than the previous quarter, and the drop rate was 0.2 points lower than the previous quarter. In the same period, the prosperity of 11 industries in the fields of energy, basic materials and consumer goods declined compared with the previous quarter, but the decline narrowed. The decline in electricity, petroleum, non-ferrous metals, equipment manufacturing and home appliances was only 0.1 to 0.2. Between the points. From the employment situation, as of the end of the third quarter, the number of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The employment of most industries maintained a year-on-year growth, indicating that the industrial economy is still operating normally. According to the analysis of the index report, the overall industrial stability has stabilized, and it is related to the timely launch of a number of targeted policy measures such as strengthening infrastructure, accelerating technological transformation, and expanding consumption. From the specific indicators, the prosperity index reflects the pace of industrial economic transfer and restructuring. First, the investment structure has been optimized. The growth rate of fixed assets investment in clothing, dairy products and other equipment manufacturing related to technology upgrades is higher than or close to the industrial average, while coal, steel, cement and non-ferrous metals related to high pollution, high energy consumption and overcapacity The year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment in other industries is lower than the average industrial average. Second, the profitability of industry companies has remained basically stable. In the third quarter, the total profit realized by the industry decreased by 4.1% year-on-year, which was 3.1 percentage points higher than that of the previous quarter. However, the profit margin of industrial enterprises still reached 5.3%, which means that the profitability of enterprises has not been significantly weakened. Third, new progress has been made in energy conservation and emission reduction. The decline in the prosperity of the power and coal industries indicates that the tension in energy supply and demand has been alleviated, and it has also reflected the progress of China in strengthening energy conservation and emission reduction and improving energy efficiency. Fourth, the funding situation tends to improve. In the third quarter, except for the power, coal and dairy industries, the year-on-year growth rate of accounts receivable of other industries declined from the previous quarter, indicating that the rate of return of enterprises above designated size is accelerating and the funds are becoming more prosperous. In addition, the prices of steel, cement and non-ferrous metals fell sharply in the third quarter, and the profit margins of the steel and non-ferrous metals industries were far below the industrial average. This will help to fully utilize the market mechanism, accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity, and promote mergers. Restructuring and industrial upgrading. According to the model forecast, the industrial prosperity index in the fourth quarter was 95.5, which was slightly higher than that in the third quarter. The prosperity of most key industries is expected to be basically the same or slightly better than the third quarter. Index monitoring also showed that the early warning index for industrial and key industries in the third quarter was in the “light blue light district†indicating that the industry was running cold.
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